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Entertainment OPEN

How many streams will the top song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA have on Mar 6, 2026?

📊 $7K traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$7K
Open Interest
250
Active Markets
21
Markets
21

Trade This Market

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Yes Ask
Last Price
Prev Close
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Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (21)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
19,000,000 - 19,999,999 1%
18¢ $7K Trade →
1,000,000 - 1,999,999 34%
29¢ $250 Trade →
17,000,000 - 17,999,999 0%
15¢ $0 Trade →
7,000,000 - 7,999,999 0%
25¢ $0 Trade →
5,000,000 - 5,999,999 0%
39¢ $0 Trade →
2,000,000 - 2,999,999 0%
70¢ $0 Trade →
6,000,000 - 6,999,999 0%
50¢ $0 Trade →
8,000,000 - 8,999,999 0%
25¢ $0 Trade →
18,000,000 - 18,999,999 0%
19¢ $0 Trade →
999,999 or below 0%
$0 Trade →
10,000,000 - 10,999,999 0%
19¢ $0 Trade →
11,000,000 - 11,999,999 0%
19¢ $0 Trade →
12,000,000 - 12,999,999 0%
19¢ $0 Trade →
13,000,000 - 13,999,999 0%
19¢ $0 Trade →
14,000,000 - 14,999,999 0%
19¢ $0 Trade →
15,000,000 - 15,999,999 0%
19¢ $0 Trade →
16,000,000 - 16,999,999 0%
19¢ $0 Trade →
9,000,000 - 9,999,999 0%
25¢ $0 Trade →
20,000,000 or above 0%
10¢ $0 Trade →
3,000,000 - 3,999,999 0%
12¢ 93¢ $0 Trade →
4,000,000 - 4,999,999 0%
12¢ 75¢ $0 Trade →

About This Market

This market asks which outcome will correspond to the number of Spotify streams earned by the top song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA chart on March 6, 2026. It matters because that daily stream total is a snapshot of a song's commercial momentum, playlist impact, and promotional success.

Streaming totals are driven by a mix of artist activity, playlist placement, viral social media moments, and radio/marketing support; daily peaks can be influenced by coordinated release strategies and platform editorial decisions. Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA is a widely watched daily chart that aggregates plays within the United States for each calendar day, and similar markets have used such charts to gauge short-term popularity. This market uses 21 discrete outcomes to represent possible stream-count buckets for that specific date.

Market prices summarize traders' collective beliefs about which discrete stream outcome will occur; they update as new information (releases, playlist adds, viral trends) becomes available. Prices are not guarantees but a continuously updated signal that incorporates public information and participants' expectations.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What do the 21 outcomes in this market represent?

They are the discrete stream-count buckets or specific outcomes the market uses to categorize the top song's Spotify streams for Mar 6, 2026; the market page lists the exact ranges or labels for each outcome.

How will the market decide which song is the 'top' and which stream count is used to resolve the event?

Resolution follows the market's official terms, which rely on Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA chart and Spotify's reported daily stream total for Mar 6, 2026 as the authoritative data source; consult the event rules for the precise resolver and any tie-breaking procedures.

If a big artist releases a single on Mar 6, 2026, how could that influence the outcome?

A same-day release by a major artist can produce a high stream total and capture the top spot if supported by playlists and promotion, but the impact depends on release timing, promotional coordination, and competing releases that day.

What does the listed total volume traded ($6,660) tell me about this market?

Total volume traded indicates how much money has changed hands and provides a rough sense of liquidity and participant engagement; higher volume generally yields more stable, information-rich prices, but volume alone doesn't guarantee accuracy.

When does this market close and how can I monitor developments before resolution?

The market close is currently listed as TBD; follow the platform for any updates to the closing time, and monitor real-time signals—Spotify charts, playlist adds, industry news, and social-media trends—on and immediately before Mar 6, 2026 to inform decisions.

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