| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,000,000 - 2,999,999 | 12% | 13¢ | 24¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| 1,000,000 - 1,999,999 | 84% | 75¢ | 86¢ | — | $216 | Trade → |
| 20,000,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 19,000,000 - 19,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 15,000,000 - 15,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 10,000,000 - 10,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,000,000 - 7,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,000,000 - 6,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 8,000,000 - 8,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 999,999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 16,000,000 - 16,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 14,000,000 - 14,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 4,000,000 - 4,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 3,000,000 - 3,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 9,000,000 - 9,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 18,000,000 - 18,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 12,000,000 - 12,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 13,000,000 - 13,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 11,000,000 - 11,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,000,000 - 5,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 17,000,000 - 17,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many Spotify streams the #1 song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA will have on March 5, 2026. It matters because the top-stream count is a concise signal of demand and exposure for whatever track leads the US daily chart on that date.
Streaming chart outcomes reflect a mix of new-release momentum, ongoing catalog consumption, editorial playlisting, and short-term virality. Over the past decade, increases in user base, playlist algorithm weight, and social-platform-driven discovery have raised both peak stream counts and day-to-day volatility for chart-topping tracks. Calendar timing and major marketing or media events around a date can materially change what a leading track achieves on a single day.
Market prices represent collective expectations across discrete stream-range outcomes and update as new information arrives. Each contract corresponds to one outcome bin; only the bin that contains Spotify's reported stream count for Mar 5, 2026 (per Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA data) will resolve as the winner.
Resolution is based on Spotify's published Daily Top Songs USA stream counts for March 5, 2026. The market will resolve according to the platform's official settlement rules once Spotify's published data for that date is available; check the market page and operator resolution policy for the specific resolution timing.
It is the single track that Spotify reports as having the highest number of streams in the United States on March 5, 2026, according to Spotify’s Daily Top Songs USA chart for that date.
The market offers 21 mutually exclusive outcome buckets, each representing a range of stream totals for the top song; only the bucket that contains Spotify’s reported stream count for Mar 5, 2026 resolves as the winning contract.
High-impact items include surprise or scheduled major releases, prominent playlist placements or editorial changes, sudden viral trends on social platforms, major artist media appearances or performances, and large-scale advertising or sync placements.
In cases of delayed, unclear, or tied public data, the market will follow the exchange’s official resolution policies and dispute procedures, which default to Spotify’s published chart when available; consult the market rules on the trading platform for the specific tie-breaking and adjudication process.