| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,000,000 - 2,999,999 | 1% | 1¢ | 4¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| 1,000,000 - 1,999,999 | 92% | 92¢ | 100¢ | — | $380 | Trade → |
| 6,000,000 - 6,999,999 | 7% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $200 | Trade → |
| 7,000,000 - 7,999,999 | 7% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $200 | Trade → |
| 5,000,000 - 5,999,999 | 7% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $200 | Trade → |
| 20,000,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 8,000,000 - 8,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 9,000,000 - 9,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 13,000,000 - 13,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 12,000,000 - 12,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 16,000,000 - 16,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 999,999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 10,000,000 - 10,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 11,000,000 - 11,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 18,000,000 - 18,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 15,000,000 - 15,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 14,000,000 - 14,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 17,000,000 - 17,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 3,000,000 - 3,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 19,000,000 - 19,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 4,000,000 - 4,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many Spotify streams the #1 track on Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA will have on March 3, 2026. It matters because the top-streamed song reflects listening behavior, promotional impact, and short-term popularity on a major streaming platform.
Spotify's daily charts aggregate millions of individual plays and are influenced by new releases, playlist placements, and viral moments across social platforms. Historically, chart-topping daily stream totals can move sharply around major artist releases, coordinated promotional campaigns, and cultural events that concentrate listening on a small set of tracks.
Market prices/odds represent how traders collectively value each range of possible stream totals and will change as new information arrives. Use those market signals alongside known facts (release schedules, playlist updates, publicity events) to form an independent view of likely outcomes.
The outcome is determined by the total stream count reported for the song that is #1 on Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA for March 3, 2026, as published in Spotify’s official daily chart used by the market for resolution.
The 21 outcomes are discrete, non-overlapping stream-count buckets that together cover the plausible range of possible totals; the market resolves to the single bucket that contains the actual reported stream figure. Consult the market page for the exact bucket boundaries.
The market's close time is listed as TBD; resolution occurs after Spotify publishes the Daily Top Songs USA data for March 3, 2026 and the exchange applies its published resolution rules. Check the market page and the platform’s resolution policy for official timing updates.
Settlement is based on the stream figure shown in Spotify’s official Daily Top Songs USA chart for March 3, 2026, as used by the market operator; the market follows the operator’s documented data sources and dispute procedures if there is ambiguity.
Key drivers include new single or album releases by major artists, placement on large editorial playlists or algorithmic boosts, sudden social-media-driven virality, high-profile live performances or TV appearances, and cross-promotional syncs (e.g., in an ad or show) that focus listening on a single track.