| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 999,999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,000,000 - 1,199,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,200,000 - 1,399,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,400,000 - 1,599,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,600,000 - 1,799,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,800,000 - 1,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,000,000 - 2,199,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,200,000 - 2,399,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,400,000 - 2,599,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,600,000 - 2,799,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,800,000 - 2,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 3,000,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many Spotify streams the #1 song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA will register on March 29, 2026; it matters because the daily top-stream count is a compact indicator of current listener attention and commercial momentum for mainstream songs.
Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA ranks tracks by streaming activity within a 24‑hour window for the United States; the top position on that list can be driven by new releases, playlist placement, and viral trends. This KALSHI market offers 12 discrete outcomes that partition possible stream counts for the #1 song on that date; the market's close time is currently TBD and initial reported volume is zero, so liquidity and pricing may change as traders enter positions.
Market odds reflect the collective expectations of traders about which stream‑count outcome will occur and update as new information arrives; they should be read as a consensus signal, not a certainty, and can shift quickly around releases, promotions, or data corrections.
The event uses Spotify's published Daily Top Songs USA chart for March 29, 2026; the #1 song is whatever track Spotify lists at the top of that daily chart for the U.S. on that date.
Spotify aggregates streams into a 24‑hour daily chart according to its own publishing schedule; this market settles based on Spotify's published daily chart for Mar 29, 2026, so check Spotify's documentation and the market's settlement rules for the exact cutoff used.
Only streams that contribute to Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA chart are relevant, so the focus is on plays that Spotify attributes to the U.S. daily ranking.
Settlement follows the official data and timestamp that the market operator designates (in this case, Spotify's published daily chart for the date in question); if Spotify revises or removes entries after publication, refer to KALSHI's published settlement policy for how revisions are handled.
Yes — promotional events, tour dates, award show performances, major collaborations, or media exposure occurring in the days before Mar 29 can materially change daily streaming behavior and therefore influence which stream‑count outcome is realized.