| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,200,000 - 1,399,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,000,000 - 1,199,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,200,000 - 2,399,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 999,999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,600,000 - 1,799,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,000,000 - 2,199,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,800,000 - 2,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,600,000 - 2,799,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,400,000 - 2,599,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 3,000,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,800,000 - 1,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,400,000 - 1,599,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which stream-count bucket the #1 song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA will register on Mar 25, 2026; it matters because the result summarizes listener attention, promotional success, and virality on a single high-visibility day.
Spotify's Daily Top Songs charts report the most-streamed tracks within a 24-hour window for the U.S. market; #1 positions can swing widely based on new releases, playlist placements, and short-term viral activity. Streaming totals for a given top song reflect a combination of organic listens, playlist-driven plays, and coordinated promotional pushes, so the measure is sensitive to both artist activity and platform-level curation.
Market prices (odds) aggregate traders' expectations about which stream-range outcome will be reported for Mar 25, 2026; they update as new information arrives but do not guarantee the eventual official stream count.
Settlement will use the song that Spotify lists as #1 on its official Daily Top Songs USA chart for Mar 25, 2026, and the stream total reported for that track by the data source specified in the contract.
Each of the 12 outcomes corresponds to a predefined, mutually exclusive stream-count bucket (or exact-value bucket) displayed on the market page; the outcome whose bucket contains the official reported stream total will be declared the winner.
The market will be settled according to KALSHI's published resolution rules once the official Spotify daily figures for Mar 25, 2026 are available and any verification window has passed; watch the market page for the official close and settlement announcements.
This market uses the stream count metric reported for the Daily Top Songs USA chart as specified in the contract (i.e., the total credited streams for the #1 track on Mar 25, 2026); it does not represent unique listeners unless explicitly stated by the data provider.
Market prices can move on news of a major artist release or remix, confirmed playlist adds/removals, viral social-media moments tied to a song, high-profile performances or media appearances, or any public data corrections from Spotify affecting reported streams.