| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,000,000 - 1,199,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,800,000 - 1,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,600,000 - 1,799,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,200,000 - 1,399,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,200,000 - 2,399,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,400,000 - 2,599,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 3,000,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,400,000 - 1,599,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 999,999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,000,000 - 2,199,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,600,000 - 2,799,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,800,000 - 2,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which range of total Spotify streams the #1 song on Spotify’s Daily Top Songs USA will register on Mar 24, 2026. It matters because the top song’s daily streams capture a mix of release impact, playlist placement, and short-term virality that are important signals for artists, labels, and traders.
Spotify’s Daily Top Songs chart is driven by play counts on the platform and can swing widely from day to day depending on new releases, editorial playlisting, and social-media-driven spikes. Historically, the highest daily totals occur around major global releases, award-show performances, or sudden viral trends, while lower totals follow quieter release windows or technical issues. March 24, 2026 falls in a typical spring release and touring period, so artist release schedules and promotional events near that date will be particularly relevant.
Market odds represent traders’ collective, real-time assessment of which predefined stream-range outcome is most plausible given available information. Treat odds as a consensus signal that changes as new release, playlist, or virality information arrives, not as a fixed forecast.
The market close time is listed as TBD on the event page; the market will settle based on Spotify’s official Daily Top Songs USA data for Mar 24, 2026 as specified in the market’s resolution rules. Check the market’s rules for the exact data source, time zone, and any tie-breaking procedures used at settlement.
Each of the 12 outcomes corresponds to a predefined numeric range of daily stream counts for the #1 song on Mar 24, 2026. The market’s outcome table shows the exact ranges; participants buy the outcome whose range they believe will contain the final reported stream total.
Spotify charts are typically based on individual track identifiers, so different versions may appear separately unless Spotify chooses to aggregate them. The market will use whatever behavior Spotify’s Daily Top Songs chart exhibits on Mar 24, 2026, as described in the market’s settlement documentation.
Same-day factors include surprise releases or late-night drops, last-minute major playlist adds, viral short-form content that initiates on or shortly before Mar 24, high-profile live performances or award-show exposure, and any Spotify service disruptions that impact play reporting.
Watch Spotify’s editorial playlist updates, artist announcements and social feeds, music news outlets for release schedules and promotion plans, TikTok and other short-form platforms for virality signals, and status pages or reports for any Spotify outages or charting announcements.