| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 999,999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,000,000 - 2,199,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,400,000 - 2,599,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,000,000 - 1,199,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,600,000 - 1,799,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,200,000 - 2,399,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 3,000,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,800,000 - 2,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,400,000 - 1,599,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,600,000 - 2,799,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,800,000 - 1,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,200,000 - 1,399,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks participants to predict how many streams the top-ranked song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA chart will register on March 21, 2026. It matters because daily top-stream counts reflect real-time listener behavior and major promotional or release events for artists.
Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA is a daily-ranked list of tracks by stream volume within the United States; the top song on a given date is the single track with the largest number of Spotify streams counted in that 24-hour reporting period. Historical daily leaders range from catalog hits that spike after news or viral moments to brand-new releases that receive heavy playlisting and promotional pushes. For a prediction market, the outcome ties the market to a single objectively measured metric reported in Spotify's public data for that date.
Market prices reflect how traders collectively expect the stream-count range outcome to compare to other outcomes, not a guarantee of what will occur. Participants should read the event rules and settlement method to understand exactly which Spotify data point will determine the final outcome.
The top song is the track that Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA chart lists as number one for the 24-hour period covering March 21, 2026, using the public stream counts and rankings published by Spotify; consult the event's official rules for the exact data source and settlement reference.
This market follows Spotify's own methodology: streams that are counted and aggregated by Spotify into the daily chart for the specific track will determine the outcome; whether different versions or remixes are combined depends on how Spotify groups those recordings on the chart, so check Spotify's published listing for that day.
Tie resolution will follow the published order and tie-breaking (if any) used by Spotify in its Daily Top Songs USA chart or the tie-break rules specified by the market's settlement terms; if the chart is ambiguous, the market's official settlement policy will apply—review the event rules before trading.
The market's close time is listed as TBD on the event page; settlement will occur after Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA data for March 21, 2026 is publicly available and the market operator confirms the official source and timing per the event rules—check the event page for updates on close and settlement timing.
Track new-release schedules, Spotify editorial playlist adds, prominent user-generated content and trending hashtags on TikTok/Instagram/X, upcoming live or broadcast performances and sync placements, and any sudden artist-related news or catalog spikes; also monitor streaming patterns around weekends and holidays that can affect daily totals.