| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,200,000 - 1,399,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,400,000 - 1,599,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,000,000 - 1,199,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 999,999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,200,000 - 2,399,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,400,000 - 2,599,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,800,000 - 2,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,000,000 - 2,199,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,600,000 - 2,799,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 3,000,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,600,000 - 1,799,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,800,000 - 1,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the daily stream total will be for the #1 song on Spotify's "Daily Top Songs USA" chart on March 20, 2026. It matters because the top-streamed song on a major platform is a practical indicator of commercial reach, promotion effectiveness, and viral momentum on that date.
Spotify's daily charts aggregate millions of individual streams and reflect a mix of editorial playlisting, algorithmic recommendations, and listener behavior; the top song on any given day can be a new-release blockbuster, a resurgent catalog track, or a viral breakout. Historically, daily top totals vary substantially depending on artist profile, playlist placements, simultaneous promotional activity, and short-term social-media trends.
Market odds aggregate traders' information and news about releases, playlist placements, and viral signals and update as new information arrives. They indicate the market's collective expectation about which stream-range outcome is most supported by current information, not a guarantee of the final number.
Settlement will be based on the official stream total reported for the song that occupies Spotify's 'Daily Top Songs USA' top position for Mar 20, 2026, as defined by the market's settlement rules; consult the market page for the precise data source and any adjudication procedures the platform uses.
The measurement corresponds to Spotify's daily aggregation for the chart date Mar 20, 2026; the platform's market rules define the exact start and end times and any time-zone conventions used for that aggregation.
Each outcome represents a specific stream-count range listed on the market. After Spotify's official total is available, the market operator will place that number into the matching outcome range and settle according to the contract's mapping rules.
Tie scenarios are resolved according to the market's settlement rules, which typically specify a tie-breaker such as Spotify's internal ranking or an explicit tie resolution method; check the market's rulebook for the exact procedure.
Key developments include announced release dates from major artists, confirmed editorial playlist adds, sudden viral trends or challenges on social platforms, major promotional appearances or tours scheduled around Mar 20, and any significant platform-level changes at Spotify that affect stream counting or discoverability.