| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,000,000 - 2,999,999 | 19% | 10¢ | 18¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| 1,000,000 - 1,999,999 | 82% | 83¢ | 89¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| 16,000,000 - 16,999,999 | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $100 | Trade → |
| 11,000,000 - 11,999,999 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $93 | Trade → |
| 5,000,000 - 5,999,999 | 6% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $36 | Trade → |
| 4,000,000 - 4,999,999 | 7% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 9,000,000 - 9,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 19,000,000 - 19,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 15,000,000 - 15,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,000,000 - 6,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 8,000,000 - 8,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 999,999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,000,000 - 7,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 14,000,000 - 14,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 10,000,000 - 10,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 3,000,000 - 3,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 18,000,000 - 18,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 12,000,000 - 12,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 13,000,000 - 13,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 17,000,000 - 17,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 20,000,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which stream-count range the #1 song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA will fall into on Mar 2, 2026. It matters because streaming volume reflects commercial impact, promotional effectiveness, and short‑term listener behavior that shape music industry decisions.
Spotify’s Daily Top Songs chart ranks tracks by reported daily streams in the U.S.; the top position can be driven by a new release, a viral surge, playlist placement, or catalog resurgence. Historically, chart-topping daily stream counts vary with release schedules, major-label campaigns, seasonality, and viral amplification from social platforms or sync placements.
Market odds express the crowd’s current expectation about which stream‑range outcome is most likely; they shift as new information (releases, promotions, playlist adds, viral events) arrives. Use them as a dynamic signal of market sentiment rather than a fixed truth.
Settlement is based on the top song’s reported Spotify Daily Top Songs USA stream total for Mar 2, 2026 as used by the market operator; outcomes map to predefined stream‑count ranges and the range containing the reported figure wins.
'Closes: TBD' indicates the market’s final trading deadline or formal close time has not been set publicly; resolution will occur after Spotify’s Mar 2, 2026 daily data is available and the platform publishes the official winning range.
Most markets follow their published resolution rules: they use the data source specified by the contract and may state a cutoff for accepting corrections; check the market’s official rules or announcements to learn whether post‑publication corrections are considered.
Ties are uncommon but possible; handling depends on the market’s resolution policy — some contracts specify tiebreak rules or reference the same data source’s tie‑breaking convention, so consult the market’s resolution terms for this event.
Track official release schedules, major-label announcements, Spotify editorial playlist updates, social media virality indicators (TikTok trends, YouTube views), tour/award show dates around late Feb–early Mar, and real‑time streaming dashboards or industry reporting that might reveal rising tracks.