| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,200,000 - 1,399,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 999,999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,400,000 - 1,599,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,400,000 - 2,599,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,800,000 - 2,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,200,000 - 2,399,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,600,000 - 1,799,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 3,000,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,000,000 - 2,199,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,000,000 - 1,199,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,800,000 - 1,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,600,000 - 2,799,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks traders to predict the number of Spotify streams received by the #1 song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA chart for March 19, 2026. It matters because that single-day total captures the combined effect of releases, promotion, and listener behavior on a specific date.
Spotify's Daily Top Songs charts reflect real-time listening patterns and have become a key barometer for a song's immediate popularity in the United States. Daily top-stream totals can swing widely based on new releases, playlist placements, viral social-media moments, and coordinated marketing pushes. Historical daily tops provide context but outcomes are sensitive to last-minute events and platform reporting nuances.
Market prices represent collective expectations about which outcome range will match the observed stream total on March 19, 2026 and will update as new information arrives. Treat prices as indicators of relative likelihood and market confidence, not fixed predictions.
The market closes at the time listed on the trading platform; the official outcome will be settled using Spotify's published Daily Top Songs USA data for the date March 19, 2026 as specified in the market rules. Check the platform listing for the precise close time, timezone, and any tie-break or adjudication procedures.
The top song is the track that appears as #1 on Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA chart for March 19, 2026, i.e., the single recorded with the highest stream count for that U.S. chart date according to Spotify's published data. If the platform has tie rules, those rules determine settlement in the event of an exact tie.
Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA is intended to reflect streams originating from U.S. accounts; it generally aggregates plays across account types and counts repeated plays according to Spotify's internal streaming thresholds and fraud-detection rules. For precise inclusion rules, refer to Spotify's public methodology and the market's settlement documentation.
This market divides possible single-day stream totals into 12 outcome ranges. Choose an outcome based on your assessment of factors like likely #1 artist on that date, recent performance of comparable releases, playlist support, and any expected promotional or viral events leading up to Mar 19, 2026.
Historical data is a key input: compare past #1 daily totals for similar artists, release days (weekday vs weekend), and promotional contexts to form a baseline expectation. However, use history alongside current signals—new-release timing, playlist adds, and social traction—because single-day streams can deviate sharply from historical norms.