| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,000,000 - 2,999,999 | 1% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| 20,000,000 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $580 | Trade → |
| 1,000,000 - 1,999,999 | 98% | 90¢ | 100¢ | — | $271 | Trade → |
| 19,000,000 - 19,999,999 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $94 | Trade → |
| 10,000,000 - 10,999,999 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $47 | Trade → |
| 18,000,000 - 18,999,999 | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 15,000,000 - 15,999,999 | 9% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 6,000,000 - 6,999,999 | 9% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 11,000,000 - 11,999,999 | 9% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 12,000,000 - 12,999,999 | 9% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 9,000,000 - 9,999,999 | 9% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 7,000,000 - 7,999,999 | 9% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 5,000,000 - 5,999,999 | 9% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 17,000,000 - 17,999,999 | 9% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 3,000,000 - 3,999,999 | 9% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 14,000,000 - 14,999,999 | 9% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 13,000,000 - 13,999,999 | 9% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 999,999 or below | 10% | 0¢ | 8¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 8,000,000 - 8,999,999 | 9% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 4,000,000 - 4,999,999 | 9% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| 16,000,000 - 16,999,999 | 9% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
This market asks how many Spotify streams the No. 1 song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA will register on Mar 11, 2026. It matters because that single-day total reflects listener demand, promotional impact, and industry momentum for that date.
Spotify's Daily Top Songs charts rank tracks by the number of streams within a daily window for a given territory; the U.S. list aggregates plays from listeners located in the United States. Top daily stream totals can swing dramatically depending on new releases, playlist placement, viral trends, or catalog surges tied to media events, so comparing outcomes requires attention to those drivers rather than a single baseline.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of traders about that single-day stream total and will move as new information arrives (releases, promotional pushes, playlist updates, news). Treat prices as a real-time consensus signal, not a guaranteed prediction.
The market settles on the reported total number of Spotify streams attributed to the single ranked No. 1 on Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA for Mar 11, 2026, as published or verified by the data source designated for settlement.
Settlement will use the official daily stream figures or chart publication provided by the designated data source after Spotify's reporting for that date; the platform administering the market will confirm the timing and apply its verification rules before settling the winning outcome.
Streams counted are those Spotify attributes to U.S. listeners within its daily aggregation window, subject to Spotify's internal counting rules (including minimum listen thresholds and exclusions); the market relies on Spotify's published counts rather than third-party estimates.
Traders should recognize that the market will reflect new information as it becomes available; if Spotify's published data for Mar 11 reflects removals or spikes, settlement follows those official figures, and disputes (if any) will be handled per the market operator's resolution rules.
Key contributors include the recording artist and label (release strategy and promotions), Spotify's editorial and algorithmic playlists, social platforms and creators driving virality, and broader media exposure or sync placements that concentrate listening on that date.