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How many streams will the top song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global have on Mar 9, 2026?

📊 $1 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$1
Open Interest
1
Active Markets
21
Markets
21

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Yes Ask
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Prev Close
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Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (21)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
5,000,000 - 5,999,999 99%
95¢ $1 Trade →
13,000,000 - 13,999,999 0%
100¢ $0 Trade →
3,000,000 - 3,999,999 0%
100¢ $0 Trade →
15,000,000 - 15,999,999 0%
100¢ $0 Trade →
9,000,000 - 9,999,999 0%
100¢ $0 Trade →
19,000,000 - 19,999,999 0%
100¢ $0 Trade →
4,000,000 - 4,999,999 0%
100¢ $0 Trade →
16,000,000 - 16,999,999 0%
100¢ $0 Trade →
6,000,000 - 6,999,999 0%
100¢ $0 Trade →
2,000,000 - 2,999,999 0%
100¢ $0 Trade →
18,000,000 - 18,999,999 0%
100¢ $0 Trade →
17,000,000 - 17,999,999 0%
100¢ $0 Trade →
20,000,000 or above 0%
100¢ $0 Trade →
14,000,000 - 14,999,999 0%
100¢ $0 Trade →
11,000,000 - 11,999,999 0%
100¢ $0 Trade →
10,000,000 - 10,999,999 0%
100¢ $0 Trade →
12,000,000 - 12,999,999 0%
100¢ $0 Trade →
1,000,000 - 1,999,999 0%
100¢ $0 Trade →
8,000,000 - 8,999,999 0%
100¢ $0 Trade →
7,000,000 - 7,999,999 0%
100¢ $0 Trade →
999,999 or below 0%
100¢ $0 Trade →

About This Market

This market asks how many streams the number-one song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global chart will have on March 9, 2026. It matters because peak daily streaming for the top song reflects release timing, viral momentum, and broader listener behavior that shape music industry outcomes.

Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global ranks tracks by daily stream counts across Spotify users and is a commonly used snapshot of global popularity. Historically, the daily top spot can be driven by major new releases, playlist promotion, TikTok-driven virality, or sustained catalog hits; these drivers make the top-stream count highly variable from day to day. Market participants often compare similar past dates, recent release schedules, and promotional activity to form expectations.

Prediction-market prices indicate how traders collectively update expectations about which stream-count range will contain the final outcome; watch price movements over time to see how new information (releases, promotion, virality) shifts consensus. Prices are not guarantees but reflect the market's aggregated view given available information.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What exactly will this market resolve to for the top song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global on Mar 9, 2026?

It will resolve to the reported total number of streams for the song ranked #1 on Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global chart for March 9, 2026, as defined by the market's official resolution source and rules; consult the market's resolution spec for precise source and formatting details.

When does this market close and when should I expect final resolution?

The market closing time is listed on the event page (currently TBD); final resolution typically occurs after Spotify publishes the March 9 daily chart and the market operator confirms the official source—check the event page and resolution rules for the exact timing and any delay policies.

What do the 21 outcomes in this market represent?

The 21 outcomes partition possible stream totals into mutually exclusive buckets (ranges) covering plausible stream counts for the top song; each outcome corresponds to one range, so you select the range you believe will contain the final reported stream total.

How should I use historical daily-top-stream figures to inform my view for Mar 9, 2026?

Compare recent top-song daily streams around similar release cycles, note whether the current frontrunners released new material, and account for outliers tied to viral moments—use trends as context but not definitive predictors because single-day spikes often hinge on one-off events.

Which real-time developments would most likely change market prices before the market closes?

Announcements of a major artist's release date near Mar 9, surprise drops, playlist adds by Spotify editorial teams, viral social-media content gaining traction, or official changes to streaming/chart methodology are the sorts of developments that typically prompt rapid price movement.

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