| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10,000,000 - 10,999,999 | 5% | 0¢ | 50¢ | — | $500 | Trade → |
| 5,000,000 - 5,999,999 | 25% | 0¢ | 47¢ | — | $250 | Trade → |
| 3,000,000 - 3,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 8¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,000,000 - 6,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 50¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 17,000,000 - 17,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,000,000 - 2,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 19,000,000 - 19,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 13,000,000 - 13,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 79¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 4,000,000 - 4,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 20,000,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,000,000 - 7,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 89¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 9,000,000 - 9,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 89¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 14,000,000 - 14,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 69¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 11,000,000 - 11,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 999,999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 12,000,000 - 12,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,000,000 - 1,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 15,000,000 - 15,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 49¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 16,000,000 - 16,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 18,000,000 - 18,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 8,000,000 - 8,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which stream-count range the number-one song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global will register on March 6, 2026. It matters because daily peak streams indicate a song's global reach, promotional effectiveness, and short-term cultural impact.
Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global ranks tracks by the platform's reported daily streams and is commonly used to gauge immediate popularity. Major releases, playlist placements, and viral trends frequently determine which track tops that chart on any given day. Historical context: top daily stream leaders are often new releases or tracks amplified by social platforms and editorial playlists.
Market prices aggregate traders' views about which numeric range the top song's stream count will fall into on that specific date. Prices will move as new information (release announcements, playlist adds, viral moments, competing drops) changes expectations.
The winning outcome is determined by the stream count reported for the number-one entry on Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global for the date Mar 6, 2026, as reflected in the data used by the market's official settlement process.
The market's close is listed as TBD; settlement will occur after Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global for Mar 6, 2026 is published and the market operator confirms the official source and timing — check the market page for the exact settlement announcement.
The 21 outcomes are a sequence of non-overlapping stream-count ranges that together cover the plausible values for the top song's daily streams; the range that contains Spotify's reported count on Mar 6, 2026 will be the winning outcome.
Announcements of surprise releases, late-breaking playlist additions, viral social-media moments, major live performances or televised appearances, and competing blockbuster releases can all materially change expectations for the top daily stream count.
Resolution follows the market's official rulebook regarding the source and date definition; typically that aligns with Spotify's published Daily Top Songs Global date, but if there is ambiguity the market's settlement rules will specify which time-zone or Spotify convention is used.