| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,000,000 - 6,999,999 | 35% | 34¢ | 46¢ | — | $735 | Trade → |
| 5,000,000 - 5,999,999 | 97% | 55¢ | 65¢ | — | $551 | Trade → |
| 13,000,000 - 13,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,000,000 - 7,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 10,000,000 - 10,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 16,000,000 - 16,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 4,000,000 - 4,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 3,000,000 - 3,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,000,000 - 1,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 8,000,000 - 8,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 20,000,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 9,000,000 - 9,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 17,000,000 - 17,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,000,000 - 2,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 14,000,000 - 14,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 11,000,000 - 11,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 19,000,000 - 19,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 15,000,000 - 15,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 12,000,000 - 12,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 18,000,000 - 18,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 999,999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which streams bracket the top song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global will fall into on March 5, 2026. It matters because the top daily stream count is a real-time signal of a song's global reach and the effectiveness of release and promotion strategies.
Streaming charts reflect both listener demand and platform dynamics: release timing, editorial playlisting, and viral moments all shape daily top positions. Over recent years the daily global leader has often been a newly released single from a major artist or a track propelled by social-media trends; platforms and industry strategies continue to evolve around those patterns.
Market prices aggregate traders' views about which stream-count bracket will win; they update as news (releases, playlist adds, viral trends, outages) arrives and should be read as a real-time indicator, not a guarantee of the outcome.
The contract resolves to whatever Spotify publishes as the Daily Top Songs Global for March 5, 2026; the winning outcome corresponds to the stream-count bracket assigned to the #1 track on that published chart per the exchange's settlement rules.
Trading close is listed as TBD for this contract; final settlement happens after Spotify's March 5, 2026 daily data is published and according to the exchange's stated settlement timeline—check the contract page for the exact close and settlement timestamps once posted.
Tie-resolution is determined by the exchange's contract terms and the way Spotify publishes the chart; refer to the contract's tie-break and settlement provisions for the method used in such scenarios.
Spotify's chart methodology and how it groups or separates versions determine which specific track appears as #1; the market outcome follows Spotify's published entry for that date regardless of underlying metadata complexities.
Announcements to watch include major single or album releases, playlist placements on flagship Spotify lists, sudden viral trends on social platforms, large-scale promotional campaigns or live events, and any Spotify platform incidents or methodology updates.