| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,000,000 - 6,999,999 | 19% | 16¢ | 22¢ | — | $209 | Trade → |
| 5,000,000 - 5,999,999 | 90% | 75¢ | 89¢ | — | $20 | Trade → |
| 20,000,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 17,000,000 - 17,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 8,000,000 - 8,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,000,000 - 2,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 10,000,000 - 10,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 14,000,000 - 14,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 12,000,000 - 12,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,000,000 - 7,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 8¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 4,000,000 - 4,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 8¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 9,000,000 - 9,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 3,000,000 - 3,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 16,000,000 - 16,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 13,000,000 - 13,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,000,000 - 1,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 18,000,000 - 18,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 19,000,000 - 19,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 999,999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 15,000,000 - 15,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 11,000,000 - 11,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many streams the #1 song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global chart will have on March 4, 2026 — a way to trade on listener demand for the single most-streamed track worldwide that day. It matters because streaming volume for the top song reflects release timing, promotion, and viral momentum in the global music market.
Spotify Daily Top Songs Global ranks tracks by daily stream counts reported by Spotify; the top position on a given date can be driven by a new major release, a resurging catalog hit, or a social-media-driven surge. The market is listed on Kalshi and uses the outcome derived from Spotify's published daily chart for Mar 4, 2026 — consult the market rules for the exact settlement source and procedures.
Market odds express the collective, continuously updating view of traders about which stream-range outcome will occur; treat odds as a relative signal that incorporates public news, releases, and promotional activity rather than a fixed prediction.
Settlement will be based on Spotify's published Daily Top Songs Global listing for the date Mar 4, 2026 as specified in the market rules; check the market page for the precise source URL and any supplemental settlement instructions.
The market's close time is listed on the Kalshi market page and is currently TBD; settlement typically occurs after Spotify publishes the daily chart for Mar 4, 2026 — monitor the market page for the official close and settlement timeline.
Spotify aggregates streams into daily reporting windows defined by Spotify's charting system; tracks released near local midnight or across time zones can have streams split between adjacent dates, so outcome movement can be sensitive to exact release timestamps — consult Spotify's documentation for their daily window definition.
Tie-breaking and exceptional cases are handled according to the settlement rules on the market page and Spotify's charting methodology; review the market's posted dispute and tie-resolution policies for the binding procedure.
The market is structured into 21 discrete outcome buckets that partition possible stream counts; the exact numeric ranges assigned to each outcome are displayed on the market interface — check the outcome labels on the event page to see the boundaries used for settlement.