| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5,000,000 - 5,999,999 | 79% | 83¢ | 91¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| 13,000,000 - 13,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 17,000,000 - 17,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,000,000 - 7,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 20,000,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 9,000,000 - 9,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,000,000 - 2,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 10,000,000 - 10,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,000,000 - 1,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 4,000,000 - 4,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,000,000 - 6,999,999 | 0% | 10¢ | 22¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 999,999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 11,000,000 - 11,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 12,000,000 - 12,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 18,000,000 - 18,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 3,000,000 - 3,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 16,000,000 - 16,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 19,000,000 - 19,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 14,000,000 - 14,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 15,000,000 - 15,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 8,000,000 - 8,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many Spotify streams the single top-ranked song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global chart will register on March 3, 2026. It matters because the top-stream count captures a snapshot of global listening intensity and reflects promotional, release-timing, and virality dynamics on that specific date.
Streaming volumes have trended upward over the past decade as Spotify expanded globally, playlists and short-form social media drives music discovery, and release strategies evolved to target daily chart placement. The specific top-song stream total on a given date depends on where streaming behavior and promotional activity converge that day, not just long-term popularity.
Market prices represent participants' consensus expectations for which discrete stream-range outcome will be realized for the #1 song on Mar 3, 2026, and will update as new information arrives (announcements, playlist adds, viral moments). Treat prices as continually updating signals that summarize available public information and traders' reactions.
Settlement will use the song that Spotify lists as #1 on its Daily Top Songs Global chart for the date labeled Mar 3, 2026, based on Spotify's published stream totals for that entry.
The market settles to the stream total reported by Spotify for the #1 entry on its Daily Top Songs Global chart for Mar 3, 2026; the platform running the market will reference Spotify's official published data or API output used consistently across similar markets.
Spotify counts streams per unique Spotify track ID; if the platform's published Daily Top Songs Global chart aggregates versions, the market will use Spotify's published treatment for the #1 listing; if versions are separate track IDs they typically appear as separate chart entries.
Streams count according to the 24-hour reporting window Spotify uses for the date labeled Mar 3, 2026; whether same-day release activity falls into that window depends on the artist's release time and Spotify's reporting conventions for that date.
Sudden virality, playlist adds, or promotional pushes can materially change expected daily streams even hours before settlement; because the market updates in real time, such events are reflected quickly in prices and can alter which discrete stream-range outcome is most likely.