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How many streams will the top song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global have on Mar 25, 2026?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
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0
Active Markets
21
Markets
21

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Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (21)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
20,000,000 or above 0%
$0 Trade →
5,000,000 - 5,999,999 0%
$0 Trade →
2,000,000 - 2,999,999 0%
$0 Trade →
7,000,000 - 7,999,999 0%
$0 Trade →
10,000,000 - 10,999,999 0%
$0 Trade →
14,000,000 - 14,999,999 0%
$0 Trade →
18,000,000 - 18,999,999 0%
$0 Trade →
3,000,000 - 3,999,999 0%
$0 Trade →
13,000,000 - 13,999,999 0%
$0 Trade →
999,999 or below 0%
$0 Trade →
6,000,000 - 6,999,999 0%
$0 Trade →
15,000,000 - 15,999,999 0%
$0 Trade →
12,000,000 - 12,999,999 0%
$0 Trade →
19,000,000 - 19,999,999 0%
$0 Trade →
4,000,000 - 4,999,999 0%
$0 Trade →
16,000,000 - 16,999,999 0%
$0 Trade →
9,000,000 - 9,999,999 0%
$0 Trade →
11,000,000 - 11,999,999 0%
$0 Trade →
1,000,000 - 1,999,999 0%
$0 Trade →
17,000,000 - 17,999,999 0%
$0 Trade →
8,000,000 - 8,999,999 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market asks which stream-count range the #1 song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global will fall into on Mar 25, 2026. It matters because the top daily stream count is a compact indicator of peak listener engagement and commercial momentum for a song on that date.

Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global ranks tracks by how many streams they received during a platform-defined day; the daily leader often reflects a mix of fanbase activity, playlist placement, and viral moments. Over recent years, daily top counts have been shaped by global release strategies (Friday drops), social-media-driven virality, and changes in playlisting and algorithmic recommendations.

Market prices aggregate traders' views about which stream-count range will be realized; treat those prices as a real-time consensus about the likely outcome, not a guaranteed forecast.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What exact 24-hour period is used to count streams 'on Mar 25, 2026' for this market?

The market uses the 24-hour day as defined by Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global charting methodology; settlement will follow Spotify's published daily figures and the chart timezone/methodology that Spotify applies to that date.

How will the winning outcome be determined from Spotify's data?

The exchange will take Spotify's official published stream count for the song that ranks #1 on Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global for Mar 25, 2026; that exact reported count determines which pre-set stream-count range (outcome) wins.

What if Spotify revises its stream counts after the chart is published?

Settlement follows the exchange's stated rules regarding authoritative sources; in practice the exchange will rely on Spotify's published data and any subsequent official revisions per the exchange's adjudication policy.

If two songs have identical stream counts on Spotify for that date, how is '#1' decided for settlement?

If Spotify presents a tie or multiple entries with identical counts, the exchange will follow Spotify's published ranking and any tie-breaking conventions Spotify uses; the exchange defers to the platform listed as the authoritative source.

Which real-world events should I monitor that could change expectations for Mar 25, 2026?

Watch announced or surprise releases in the preceding week, major playlist editorial updates, viral social-media trends or challenges tied to a song, major live performances or televised appearances, and any news about artist-driven streaming campaigns or promotional pushes.

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