| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20,000,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 10,000,000 - 10,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 4,000,000 - 4,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,000,000 - 2,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 16,000,000 - 16,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 9,000,000 - 9,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 8,000,000 - 8,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 15,000,000 - 15,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 17,000,000 - 17,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 18,000,000 - 18,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 12,000,000 - 12,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,000,000 - 7,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 3,000,000 - 3,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 999,999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 11,000,000 - 11,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 13,000,000 - 13,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,000,000 - 1,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 14,000,000 - 14,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,000,000 - 6,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 19,000,000 - 19,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,000,000 - 5,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks participants to predict the number of Spotify streams earned by the number-one track on Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global chart on Mar 18, 2026. It matters because the top-stream count is a compact indicator of global listener engagement, promotional impact, and momentum for artists and labels.
Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global ranks individual tracks by daily stream counts and has been a standard industry snapshot of worldwide listening on a given date. Over recent years, top daily stream totals have been shaped by coordinated release strategies, playlist placement, social-media virality, and touring, so outcomes reflect both organic listening and commercial promotion. March 18, 2026 sits within ongoing release cycles and promotional calendars that can concentrate plays around specific days.
Market prices represent collective judgment about which stream-count outcome is most likely given available information; they update as new data (releases, playlist moves, viral events) arrives. Use prices to compare relative market expectations across the listed outcomes rather than as absolute forecasts.
Settlement will use the stream count and ranking as published by Spotify for the Daily Top Songs Global chart on Mar 18, 2026; the market settles to Spotify's official figures as reported for that date.
The 'top song' is the single track that Spotify ranks first on the Daily Top Songs Global chart for that date, i.e., the individual track with the highest number of streams as reported by Spotify for Mar 18, 2026.
A track's release time relative to Spotify's charting day can materially affect its cumulative streams for that date: earlier availability during the chart day typically allows more plays to accrue, while late releases have less time to accumulate plays; regional listening patterns and time zones also shape daily totals.
The market outcome is based on Spotify's published ranking of individual tracks; separate track IDs (remixes, alternate versions) are treated as distinct entries unless Spotify aggregates them in its published chart — only whatever Spotify reports as the top track on that date is used for settlement.
Major album or single releases, surprise drops, placement on prominent Spotify playlists, viral social-media trends, high-visibility live performances or televised appearances, and syncs (ads, films, shows) can all produce large day-specific spikes in streams that shift which outcome occurs.