| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7,000,000 - 7,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 16,000,000 - 16,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,000,000 - 2,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 3,000,000 - 3,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 13,000,000 - 13,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1,000,000 - 1,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 18,000,000 - 18,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 20,000,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 9,000,000 - 9,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,000,000 - 6,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 15,000,000 - 15,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 14,000,000 - 14,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 999,999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 4,000,000 - 4,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,000,000 - 5,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 11,000,000 - 11,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 17,000,000 - 17,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 8,000,000 - 8,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 10,000,000 - 10,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 12,000,000 - 12,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 19,000,000 - 19,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the daily stream count will be for the number‑one track on Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global chart on Mar 17, 2026. It matters because that headline number summarizes global listening intensity for the day's most‑streamed song and reacts to releases, promotions, and viral moments.
Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global ranks tracks by daily plays reported by Spotify; daily peaks for the top slot have varied widely depending on artist prominence, new releases, and viral trends. Streaming volumes are influenced by playlist placements, coordinated fan activity, marketing pushes, and momentary cultural events (e.g., film syncs, viral videos). Historical context — such as whether a major artist released music that week or whether big competing releases occurred — helps frame expectations for Mar 17, 2026.
Market prices represent traders' collective views about which stream‑count bucket will contain the top song's reported streams on Mar 17, 2026; they update as new information arrives but are not guarantees of the final outcome. Use them as a real‑time aggregation of available signals rather than an absolute prediction.
The market resolves to whatever stream count Spotify reports for the top song on its Daily Top Songs Global chart for Mar 17, 2026. Check the event page and market rules for the official resolution time and the exact data source used for settlement.
Each of the 21 outcomes corresponds to a non‑overlapping stream‑count range (a bucket) for the top song on that date. Refer to the market’s outcome definitions on the event page to see the exact boundaries for each bucket.
Yes. Streaming platforms define daily counting windows and plays that occur near the day boundary may be assigned to one date or the next. For settlement purposes, the market follows the way Spotify reports its Daily Top Songs Global counts; consult Spotify’s documentation and the market rules for how days are defined.
Settlement follows the official data source and procedures specified by the market. If Spotify publishes a revision or an official tie, the market will use the published result and any tie‑breaking or revision policies listed on the event page or in the market rules.
Watch artist release schedules, editorial playlist additions, viral trends on TikTok/short‑form video, announcements of major performances or sync placements, and competing high‑profile releases. Also monitor Spotify's daily charts and official updates that could affect counts or methodology.