| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50,000 albums | 59% | 57¢ | 59¢ | — | $40K | Trade → |
| At least 100,000 albums | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $22K | Trade → |
| At least 150,000 albums | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| At least 200,000 albums | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| At least 85,000 albums | 2% | 2¢ | 5¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| At least 250,000 albums | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $982 | Trade → |
| At least 75,000 albums | 5% | 2¢ | 6¢ | — | $779 | Trade → |
| At least 30,000 albums | 99% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $659 | Trade → |
| At least 45,000 albums | 0% | 60¢ | 96¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 35,000 albums | 0% | 95¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 40,000 albums | 0% | 90¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many pure album sales BLACKPINK's 'DEADLINE' will register on the chart dated Mar 5, 2026; it matters to fans, labels, and analysts because pure-sales figures influence chart placement, revenue reporting, and industry perception of commercial performance.
BLACKPINK is a globally prominent K-pop act with a history of strong first-week and sustained album sales; pure-album sales remain an important metric alongside streaming for gauging fan purchasing behavior. Chart totals are shaped by factors like multiple physical editions, pre-order campaigns, promotional activity, and the chart compiler's tracking rules, so historical patterns and current campaign strategies provide context for this event.
Prediction market prices aggregate participant expectations about the likely sales outcome but are not guarantees; use them as a real-time reflection of collective information and sentiment that can change as new data (shipments, chart methodology updates, performances) arrives.
The sales window depends on the chart compiler referenced by the event; most major charts use a defined seven-day tracking period that ends several days before the chart date. To know the precise dates, check the chart compiler's published tracking-week definition for the chart dated Mar 5, 2026.
'Pure album sales' generally include full-album physical purchases (CDs, vinyl) and full-album digital downloads, and exclude streaming-equivalent units and individual track-equivalent sales; confirm the chart compiler's specific definition used for the Mar 5, 2026 chart.
Pre-orders are typically counted when they are processed/placed or when they are fulfilled, depending on the retailer and chart rules; whether a pre-order contributes to the total for the Mar 5 chart depends on when the sale is recorded within the chart compiler's tracking week.
Yes — multiple physical editions and album-plus-merch bundles can boost pure-sales totals if they meet the chart compiler's eligibility criteria; different markets and compilers have rules about bundling, so the impact depends on which sales configurations are counted.
Potential disruptors include distribution or shipping delays, retailer reporting errors, late-breaking promotional exposure (viral moments or broadcast performances), or revisions to chart compilation rules; any of these can materially change the reported pure-album sales for the referenced chart.