| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 1 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 0 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 3 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 9 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 6 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 7 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 8 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 5 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 4 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks how many competitive Academy Awards the film 'Sentimental Value' will win. It matters because Oscar outcomes affect industry recognition, future earnings, and the careers of cast and crew.
The film's final Oscar tally depends first on which categories it is nominated in and then on the winners announced at the Academy Awards. Market prices reflect trading around nominations, precursor awards (guilds, critics), reviews, and campaign activity throughout awards season.
Market prices aggregate traders' expectations about the film's eventual number of Oscars; changes in price signal new information or shifting sentiment about the film's awards prospects.
Settlement is based on the Academy's official winners as publicly announced; the market will settle after those results are verified and any administrative checks are completed. Check the event page for the platform's exact settlement timing and procedures.
This market typically counts competitive Academy Awards credited to the film on the Academy's official winners list. Honorary awards, lifetime achievement recognitions, and non-competitive citations are generally excluded; verify the market description for any specific inclusions or exclusions.
The ten outcomes represent discrete possible final Oscar totals for 'Sentimental Value' (for example a range from zero up to a top category labeled on the market). Refer to the market's outcome labels to see the exact mapping (e.g., 0, 1, 2, … or a top-coded category).
Nomination announcements define which categories the film can win, often changing traders' expectations because they alter the film's maximum possible wins and its perceived competitiveness in key categories. Markets typically react quickly after nominations are released.
The market follows the Academy's official record for winners. If the Academy revises results or declares a tie, settlement will reflect the Academy's final designation; consult the platform's rules for details on post-announcement revisions and dispute resolution.