| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 1 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 0 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 3 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 2 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 8 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 7 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 6 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 9 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 5 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 4 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many Academy Awards the film "Marty Supreme" will win at the Oscars. It matters because the final Oscar tally affects the film's industry standing, future revenue, and awards-season narrative.
The Academy Awards are decided by voting members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences and are announced at the annual Oscars ceremony. A film's total wins depend on its nominations across categories, momentum from precursor awards, and the effectiveness of its awards campaign. Historical patterns show that guild awards, critics groups, and nomination breadth are important predictors of multi-win outcomes.
Market prices reflect traders’ collective interpretation of available information (nominations, precursor wins, campaign activity, reviews) and update as new information arrives. Prices are not guarantees but a continuously updated summary of market expectations for the film's Oscar count.
This market will settle after the Oscars winners are officially announced by the Academy; the winning outcome is the option that matches the official number of Oscars awarded to "Marty Supreme" per the Academy's published results. Settlement timing and any processing delays follow the exchange's established rules.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific number of Oscars that the film could win at the ceremony (for example 0, 1, 2, etc.); one outcome may be a top-coded range such as a highest-category label. Check the market's outcome labels and description on the platform for the exact mapping.
If the Academy formally disqualifies the film prior to winner announcements, the film cannot receive Oscars and the market will be resolved according to the platform's rules based on the official Academy status. If there is ambiguity, the exchange's official settlement policy and any posted rulings will govern resolution.
Precursor wins and nominations are informative signals: guild wins often correlate with victories in corresponding Academy categories and critics/guild momentum can boost a film's chances across multiple categories. However, they are pieces of evidence rather than guarantees—their predictive power varies by category and year.
If the film's actual Oscar total exceeds the highest labeled outcome, resolution depends on how the market defined that top outcome (for example a "9+" label) and the exchange's settlement rules. Review the market's outcome definitions and the platform's official settlement policy or contact support for clarification.