| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 1 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 8 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 7 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 5 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 3 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 6 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 4 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 0 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 2 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many Academy Awards the film 'Hamnet' will win; it matters because Oscars outcomes drive industry recognition and can affect talent and distribution value.
The Academy Awards are the culmination of the film awards season; nominations and industry momentum in the months before the ceremony shape expectations. This market aggregates traders' views on which categories 'Hamnet' might win and how the film is perceived by voters and the broader industry.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of participants based on news, nominations, reviews, and campaigning; they update as new information arrives but do not guarantee a final outcome.
Settlement will occur after the Academy publicly announces the official winners for the relevant Oscars ceremony; the market's closing date is listed as TBD and typically aligns with final official results or a settlement announcement from the market operator.
The market offers nine mutually exclusive outcomes that partition the possible totals of Oscars won by 'Hamnet' (for example discrete counts or a top-end bucket such as 8+), so exactly one outcome will resolve based on the final official Academy tally for the film.
Categories that typically move totals include Best Picture, Adapted/Original Screenplay, Lead and Supporting acting, Directing, and key technical categories like Cinematography, Production Design, Costume Design, Editing, and Original Score; the film's nominations across those categories will largely determine its maximum possible wins.
Nominations establish which categories 'Hamnet' can win and usually trigger large moves as traders update expectations; subsequent awards-season wins, critic and guild awards, and high-profile endorsements can further shift market prices up to settlement.
Settlement follows the market's stated rule set, which typically defers to the Academy's official and final public record; if the Academy amends winners before the market's official settlement cutoff, the market will reflect the amended official results.