| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 6 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 5 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 7 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 8 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 0 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 3 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 1 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 4 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 9 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 2 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many Academy Awards (Oscars) the film "Frankenstein" will win, aggregating traders' expectations into tradable outcomes. It matters because it tracks awards-season sentiment and how the industry and audiences reward this specific film.
Context includes the film's release timing, critical reception, and positioning during awards season; performance at precursors (guild awards, critics' prizes, film festivals) and the official Academy nominations heavily shape expectations. Historically, genre films and adaptations have varied success at the Oscars depending on category strength, campaign resources, and voting-body preferences.
Market prices reflect the collective view of traders and update as new information arrives (nominations, precursor wins, campaign developments). Use them as dynamic indicators of changing expectations rather than fixed forecasts.
The close date is set by the platform and may be updated as the Oscars date or settlement rules are finalized; markets often close shortly before or after the official Academy ceremony depending on how wins are tallied. Check the market page or platform notices for the final close time.
The 10 outcomes correspond to a discrete range of possible total Oscar wins for the film (each outcome maps to a specific count). Consult the market interface to see the exact labels (for example, 0, 1, 2, etc.) used for each outcome.
Nominations provide concrete information about which categories the film is competitive in; an increase in nominations, especially in major categories, typically leads traders to update expectations and reprice the market accordingly.
Settlement is based on the official Academy-recognized awards attributed to the film at the applicable ceremony(ies). Typically only competitive Oscars announced by the Academy count; whether honorary or separate awards are included depends on the market's settlement rules—check the platform's official rules for this event.
Volume is a measure of liquidity and interest: higher volume usually means easier trading and more information reflected in prices. However, volume does not guarantee predictive accuracy—interpret it alongside other signals like nominations and awards-season results.