| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 10 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 12 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 13 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 14 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 15 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 16 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 18 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the total number of orbital rocket launches conducted by SpaceX during the month of April. It serves as a benchmark for the company’s operational cadence and its ability to maintain high-frequency flight schedules.
SpaceX has transformed the aerospace industry by drastically increasing launch frequency through the reusability of its Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy rockets. As the company pushes toward its goal of dozens of launches annually, April serves as a critical window for evaluating their logistics, fleet turnaround times, and regulatory throughput.
The market prices reflect the collective expectation of SpaceX's operational success, with higher volume counts indicating anticipated high-tempo flight activity for the month.
A launch is defined as the successful liftoff of a SpaceX orbital rocket during the calendar month of April.
Yes, all orbital launches conducted by SpaceX, including internal Starlink missions and third-party commercial payloads, are counted.
Only launches that physically depart the launchpad within the month of April are counted; launches delayed to May will not be included.
Most launches occur at Kennedy Space Center and Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in Florida, or Vandenberg Space Force Base in California.
The FAA is responsible for issuing launch licenses; any regulatory backlog or safety investigation can limit the number of flights authorized in a given month.