| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 146 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 147 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 148 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 149 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 150 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 151 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 152 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the total number of paid Costco cardholders reported at the conclusion of the company's third fiscal quarter. Membership growth is a primary indicator of Costco's operational success and long-term customer retention.
Costco operates on a subscription-based business model where the majority of its profits are derived from membership fees rather than retail markups. Historical trends show consistent growth in cardholders, though external economic conditions and adjustments to membership pricing can influence the rate of new sign-ups and renewals. Investors closely watch these figures to gauge the strength of the brand's moat in a competitive retail landscape.
The market prices reflect the collective expectation of market participants regarding the specific tier or range of total cardholders Costco will report in its official Q3 earnings release.
Costco typically includes both primary and household cardholders in their reported membership counts.
Costco's fiscal year ends in late August; therefore, the third quarter typically spans the months of February, March, and April.
No, for the purpose of total cardholder counts, all paid membership types are generally aggregated into the primary membership figure.
Changes to fee structures can influence sign-up velocity, which is a key variable that traders monitor leading up to the earnings report.
The outcome is determined by the official cardholder figures disclosed in Costco Wholesale Corporation’s quarterly earnings report filed with the SEC.