| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 10,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 15,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 17,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 20,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 25,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 30,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 40,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 50,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 60,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 70,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 80,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 90,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 100,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 150,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 200,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 250,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 300,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 350,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 400,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 450,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 500,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 550,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 600,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 650,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 700,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 750,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 800,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 850,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 900,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 950,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 1,000,000 albums | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which bracket of first-week pure album sales the release “BULLY” will fall into. First-week sales are a key commercial benchmark that affect chart placement, media narratives, and label strategy.
First-week pure album sales refer to actual album units sold (digital album downloads plus physical formats) during the industry tracking week used by chart compilers. Those totals are influenced by factors such as pre-orders, physical distribution, promotional campaigns, and concurrent releases. The underlying sales number is often cited by industry outlets and the artist/label and forms a common headline metric for an album’s commercial start.
Market prices aggregate traders’ expectations about which sales bracket will be reported and update as new information arrives; they are a snapshot of collective beliefs rather than a guarantee. Because the market uses bracketed outcomes and the close is listed as TBD, watch for official sales reports and market trading activity to see how expectations evolve.
Pure album sales generally include full-album digital downloads and physical album units (CD, vinyl, cassette) sold during the official tracking week; they exclude track-equivalent and stream-equivalent album calculations. The market will use the sales figure reported by the designated industry source named in the market rules.
Resolution timing depends on the exchange’s stated rules for the market; typically the market resolves after the official first-week sales figure is published by the data source the market selects. Check the market page and exchange resolution policy for the specific resolution trigger and any post-week verification period.
Common authoritative sources include industry sales trackers and chart publishers (for example, the services that supply Billboard charts) or official label/artist statements if specified by the market rules. The market’s rules should identify the exact source that will be used for settlement.
Pre-orders that fall within the tracking week typically count as pure sales; whether bundles and merch-with-album offers count depends on the chart/data-provider rules and whether those SKUs meet reporting criteria. The market will follow the counting conventions of its designated sales source.
High-profile competing releases can divide consumer spending and media attention, potentially reducing sales; conversely, a quiet release week can boost headline sales for an album. Other factors like breaking news, major performances, or viral moments during the tracking week can also materially shift first-week totals.