| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Romantic | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| I'm The Problem | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Debi Tirar Mas Fotos | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Octane | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Art Of Loving | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cloud 9 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Life Of A Showgirl | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| One Thing At A Time | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| SOS | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ARIRANG | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which album will be number one on the Billboard 200 chart dated Apr 4, 2026. That placement signals commercial leadership for the week and matters to artists, labels, and observers tracking release impact.
The Billboard 200 ranks albums using multi-metric consumption—physical and digital album sales, track-equivalent albums (TEA), and streaming-equivalent albums (SEA)—compiled by industry data providers. Historically, weeks with major new releases, surprise drops, coordinated bundle strategies, or sudden viral resurgences have produced notable shifts at the top of the chart.
Prediction market odds represent the market’s aggregated view of which listed outcome is most likely to be #1 given current public information; they update as new sales, streaming, and news arrive and should be read as a snapshot of market consensus rather than a definitive forecast.
Billboard’s chart dates typically reflect data collected over a Friday–Thursday tracking week; the associated consumption totals are compiled by industry data providers and published publicly when Billboard releases that chart. Expect underlying numbers to become available in the days leading up to the chart publication.
The Billboard 200 uses a combination of physical and digital album sales, track-equivalent albums (TEA), and streaming-equivalent albums (SEA) aggregated by data providers; all counted activity within the tracking week contributes to that week’s chart placement.
Yes—catalog albums can reach #1 following events such as viral social-media moments, major advertising/film placements, reissues or deluxe editions, anniversary campaigns, or significant artist news (e.g., tour announcements or passing).
Surprise releases concentrate consumption into a single tracking week; multiple physical formats, exclusive editions, and merchandise bundles can materially increase first-week album sales, improving an album’s chance to top the chart when engineered to fall inside the tracking window.
Major changes include announced album release dates or delays, surprise album drops, large-scale promotional campaigns or TV performances, sudden viral trends affecting streams, and tour or festival activity timed to boost sales; any of these can shift consumption during the relevant tracking week.