| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man I Need | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| American Girls | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Carla's Song | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Back To Friends | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Golden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Fate Of Ophelia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| DTMF | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pop | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Folded | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dance No More | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Are You Listening Yet? | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Opalite | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Waiting Game | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Taste Back | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ready, Steady, Go! | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ordinary | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Coming Up Roses | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Paint By Numbers | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| I Just Might | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Season 2 Weight Loss | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Aperture | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Choosin' Texas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which song will be listed at number two on Billboard's Hot 100 chart dated March 21, 2026. The placement matters because top-3 Hot 100 positions are major indicators of commercial success and cultural reach.
The Billboard Hot 100 ranks songs using a blend of streaming, sales, and radio airplay; positions reflect performance across a defined tracking week. Historical context: recent years have seen fast-moving chart turnover driven by streaming virality, coordinated fan campaigns, and major release strategies, all of which influence weekly peaks.
Prediction market prices reflect traders' collective expectations about which song Billboard will list at #2 on the specified chart date. Interpret them as a snapshot of market consensus and information available to participants, not as definitive forecasts.
The chart dated March 21, 2026 reflects activity from the tracking week that precedes that publication date (Billboard uses a standard tracking window for streaming, sales, and airplay that ends several days before the chart date). Consult Billboard's chart methodology or the published chart notes for exact start and end dates for that issue.
Billboard combines on-demand and programmed streaming, digital and physical sales, and radio airplay metrics collected by its data partners. All three pillars contribute to final rankings, though their relative impact can vary by song and week.
A surprise drop or late-week campaign can generate intense short-term streams and sales that boost a song's weekly totals, but its effectiveness depends on timing relative to the tracking window and the magnitude of sustained activity across streaming, sales, and airplay.
Yes. Catalogue tracks can ascend if they experience renewed interest from viral social clips, prominent syncs (film/TV/commercial), anniversaries, artist events, or significant playlisting that drive large streaming and sales rebounds during the tracking week.
Each outcome corresponds to a candidate song for Billboard's #2 position on that dated chart. The market is resolved based on Billboard's official published Hot 100 for March 21, 2026: the song Billboard lists at #2 on that date is the winning outcome per the market's resolution rules.