| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Choosin' Texas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Man I Need | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| I Just Might | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ordinary | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Golden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stateside | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Opalite | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Fate Of Ophelia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| So Easy (To Fall In Love) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| American Girls | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| SWIM | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which recorded track will occupy the Billboard Hot 100 position number two on the chart dated April 11, 2026; it matters to traders because the Hot 100 is a widely watched weekly measure of mainstream U.S. song popularity and can reflect momentum in streaming, radio, and sales.
The Billboard Hot 100 ranks songs using a combination of streaming activity, digital sales, and radio airplay; since the rise of streaming the chart emphasizes on-demand plays alongside traditional metrics. Historical patterns show that release timing, high-impact playlisting, viral moments, and coordinated promotion often determine peak positions, while some songs sustain high ranks through consistent multi-format consumption.
Prediction market prices represent traders' collective assessment of which outcome will be realized under Billboard's published rules; they are not official chart data but can be used to gauge market expectations leading into the chart date.
Billboard's Hot 100 as published on Billboard.com for the chart dated April 11, 2026 — which is compiled from streaming, sales and radio data according to Billboard's methodology — is the official determination.
Billboard uses a defined tracking week for streams and sales (traditionally Friday through Thursday) that precedes the chart date; consult Billboard's methodology page for the exact cutoff for the April 11, 2026 chart.
Billboard typically aggregates related versions of the same song for charting when they are substantially the same composition; officially combined consumption during the tracking week can contribute to a single chart position.
Billboard credits artists according to its crediting rules, which consider how a track is marketed and how versions are reported; the published Hot 100 entry for April 11, 2026 will show Billboard's chosen crediting for that week.
This market will settle after Billboard publishes and confirms the Hot 100 chart dated April 11, 2026; settlement follows Billboard's official publication and any standard verification procedures specified by the exchange.