| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Risk It All | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stateside | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Choosin' Texas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Fate Of Ophelia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ordinary | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Back To Friends | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Opalite | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Golden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| I Just Might | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Man I Need | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which recording will be listed at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated March 28, 2026. The outcome matters because a Hot 100 #1 is a widely cited indicator of a song's commercial and cultural reach in the U.S.
The Billboard Hot 100 has tracked U.S. singles performance for decades and now combines sales, streaming, and radio airplay into a single weekly ranking. Methodology updates over time (for example, to weight different streaming formats or to incorporate new platforms) and artists’ release strategies, viral moments, and promotion campaigns all shape chart outcomes.
Market prices reflect traders’ collective expectations about which song Billboard will list at #1 on the March 28, 2026 chart; they move as new information arrives (sales/streaming figures, radio trends, releases, performances) but are not guarantees of the eventual chart result.
This market resolves based on Billboard’s official Hot 100 chart carrying the issue date March 28, 2026 as published by Billboard; settlement follows the exchange’s published resolution policy using that official chart when it is released.
Billboard’s Hot 100 combines U.S. digital and physical sales, on-demand streaming and programmed streams, and radio airplay as reported by industry data partners; the exact mixes and data suppliers are those Billboard cites in its methodology.
A release that falls early in Billboard’s tracking week has more time to accumulate streams and sales for that week’s chart, increasing first-week totals; late-week releases may push peak activity into the following week, so release timing and multi-version strategies matter.
The market follows Billboard’s official published chart and any formal corrections Billboard issues; if Billboard reports a tie or provides an amended chart, settlement will follow Billboard’s final official determination and the exchange’s resolution rules.
Surprise single or album drops, viral trends on short-form platforms, major televised performances or award-show exposure, entry of a high-profile remix, rapid playlist adds, and sudden shifts in radio programming are the primary events that can rapidly alter the outlook.