| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Choosin' Texas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Season 2 Weight Loss | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Folded | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Back To Friends | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Golden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pop | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dance No More | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Taste Back | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Opalite | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| DTMF | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Carla's Song | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Coming Up Roses | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Paint By Numbers | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ordinary | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ready, Steady, Go! | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| I Just Might | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Are You Listening Yet? | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Fate Of Ophelia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Aperture | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Waiting Game | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Man I Need | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| American Girls | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which song will be listed as Billboard Hot 100 #1 on the chart dated March 21, 2026. That placement matters for artist exposure, radio programming, awards momentum, and industry perception.
The Billboard Hot 100 ranks songs using a combination of streaming activity, digital and physical sales, and radio airplay; Billboard updates methodology occasionally but continues to weight those components. Chart dates correspond to a prior tracking week, so release timing and short-term promotional pushes can strongly influence which song reaches #1.
Prediction market prices reflect the market’s aggregated expectation of which outcome will be #1, and they update as new information (releases, viral moments, radio adds) arrives; treat prices as a snapshot of collective belief rather than a fixed forecast.
The chart dated March 21 reflects activity during the prior Billboard tracking week; historically that tracking window runs Friday through Thursday, so any streams, sales, or radio audience within that window will count toward the March 21 chart as published by Billboard.
This market will resolve to the official Billboard Hot 100 listing dated March 21, 2026 as published by Billboard; the chart published on Billboard.com is the authoritative source for the #1 entry.
Yes — Billboard may combine activity from remixes or versions if they are reported as the same core song and credited accordingly; in some cases a new version can shift activity enough to change credits, but final crediting and aggregation follow Billboard’s reporting rules.
Ties are uncommon; Billboard applies internal tie-breaking procedures based on component metrics (for example relative streaming or airplay performance) and the chart published by Billboard is the final determination.
Promotional events can produce immediate spikes in streaming, sales, and radio interest that lift a song during the tracking week; whether they affect the March 21 chart depends on the event’s timing relative to the tracking window—events after the window typically impact the following week’s chart.