| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Choosin' Texas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Man I Need | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| I Just Might | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| American Girls | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ordinary | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stateside | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Golden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Fate Of Ophelia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Aperture | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Opalite | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| SWIM | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which recording will be listed as the Billboard Hot 100 #1 on the chart dated Apr 4, 2026. It matters because the Hot 100 #1 is a high-profile indicator of commercial and cultural momentum for a song or artist.
The Billboard Hot 100 ranks songs using a mix of streaming, digital sales, and radio airplay; Billboard updates methodology periodically but the core multi-metric approach remains. Chart dates are published weekly and reflect measured consumption from defined tracking windows; industry release strategies and viral trends often shape outcomes.
Market prices represent collective assessments of which candidate will be credited as the Apr 4, 2026 Hot 100 #1; they update as new data (sales, streams, airplay, promotion) and news arrive and are not guarantees of outcome.
Billboard typically uses a Friday–Thursday tracking window for sales and streaming and a separate Monday–Sunday window for radio; the chart dated Apr 4, 2026 will reflect the activity captured in those standard windows immediately preceding that issue date.
This market will resolve to whichever recording Billboard lists as the Hot 100 #1 on the official chart dated Apr 4, 2026; the published Billboard listing is the reference for resolution.
The Hot 100 combines on-demand audio and video streams, digital sales, and radio airplay; shifts in any of those consumption channels during the relevant tracking windows can be decisive.
Yes. Billboard has rules about combining versions and crediting featured artists; if remixes or alternate versions are aggregated with the original recording, their combined activity can affect chart credit, while substantially different versions may be treated separately.
Markets typically reference Billboard's official published chart for the issue date; if Billboard issues an official amendment, the market operator's resolution rules determine whether the amended official chart or the originally published listing is used.