| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man? | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez? | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Benedict Wong as Wong? | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel? | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp? | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jonathan Majors as Kang? | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts? | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine? | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Halle Berry as Storm? | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang? | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which cast outcome will be associated with the upcoming film 'Avengers: Doomsday.' It matters to traders and fans because casting choices drive box-office expectations, media coverage, and secondary markets tied to franchise value.
Marvel Studios has historically tied major cast announcements to production milestones and marquee events (e.g., D23, Comic-Con) and sometimes to coordinated press with Disney. Rumors and trade reporting often precede official confirmation, and industry factors like actor availability, contract negotiations, and union actions can alter expected lineups. The market reflects these dynamics as participants price in new reports and official statements.
Market prices are collective, real-time indicators of which cast outcomes participants expect, and they typically adjust as credible information (official announcements, reputable trades, filings) becomes available. Use price movements as signals of changing consensus, not as definitive confirmation.
This market contains 20 discrete outcomes representing named cast possibilities or cast combinations; view the full outcome list and current market page on the exchange to see each named option and its description.
The market closure is listed as TBD; resolution is typically triggered by an official studio announcement or the specific resolution rules posted on the market page, so check the market rules for the exact trigger and close conditions.
Credible studio press releases, announcements at major events (e.g., D23, Comic-Con), reporting from established industry outlets, filings (e.g., union or production notices), and confirmations from actors' reps are the primary information drivers.
Outcome determination depends on the market's resolution criteria: some outcomes may require an exact match to the announced cast, others may be satisfied by inclusion of a named actor; consult the market's specific resolution language to see how multi-actor announcements are handled.
A credible denial from an actor or their representative often prompts rapid price adjustment, but the market will only resolve based on official confirmations per the market rules; traders frequently treat strong denials as significant signals until contradicted by studio statements.