| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Mars | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Weeknd | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Billie Eilish | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kendrick Lamar | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Taylor Swift | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lady Gaga | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rihanna | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Coldplay | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ed Sheeran | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bad Bunny | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Drake | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Harry Styles | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ariana Grande | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which artist will have the most monthly Spotify listeners at the end of March 2026. It matters because monthly listeners are a widely watched indicator of current streaming reach and public attention.
Spotify's monthly listeners is a rolling, platform-reported metric that has determined high-profile streaming leaderboards in recent years. Leadership on that metric can shift quickly after releases, viral moments, major marketing pushes, or big touring runs, so this market captures a short-term popularity contest among top global artists.
Prediction market prices reflect traders' aggregated expectations about who will lead on the specified cutoff date and update as new information arrives. Use prices as a real-time signal of market sentiment, not as guarantees, and monitor artist news and platform updates for drivers of change.
This event uses the publicly displayed Spotify monthly listeners metric for each artist as shown on Spotify at the official settlement snapshot; that metric reflects unique listeners over a recent rolling window as reported by Spotify.
The market operator will specify the official settlement cutoff and time zone on the event page and in the market rules; check those details for the exact timestamp used to take the Spotify snapshot.
Tie resolution is governed by the market's settlement rules—consult the event page. Typical outcomes: the operator may apply a predefined tiebreaker, declare multiple winning outcomes, or follow platform-specific tie procedures.
Outcome additions or removals are normally fixed at market launch; any changes would be at the operator's discretion and announced on the event page. Significant changes can prompt trading pauses or special settlement mechanics.
Watch scheduled album/single release dates, coordinated marketing campaigns, major festival or tour dates in March, platform playlist updates, high-profile collaborations or features, and rapidly spreading social media trends—any of these can quickly reshape monthly listener counts.