| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ordinary | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Manchild | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Your Idol | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Soda Pop | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Don’t Say You Love Me | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| BIRDS OF A FEATHER | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| back to friends | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Die With A Smile | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| APT. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| DtMF | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| luther (with sza) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Timeless (feat Playboi Carti) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Fate of Ophelia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| End of Beginning | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stateside + Zara Larsson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| iloveitiloveitiloveit | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Babydoll | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Man I Need | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which song will occupy the #3 position on Spotify's U.S. chart during the 2026 period specified by the market. It matters because top-three chart placement is a strong signal of mainstream popularity and can affect streaming revenue, radio play, and industry attention.
Spotify's U.S. charts aggregate streams on the platform and have been a central real-time indicator of a song's commercial reach; trends that drove chart movement in prior years include coordinated release strategies, playlist placements, and social-media virality. The 2026 chart landscape will reflect continuing shifts in how listeners discover music — for example, algorithmic playlists, short-video platforms, and the timing of major label release calendars.
Market prices reflect traders' collective expectations about which specific song will be at #3 on the date or window specified by the market; because information (new releases, viral moments, chart methodology changes) arrives over time, those expectations can move rapidly.
The market resolves to whichever song is listed at position #3 on Spotify's official U.S. chart for the specific date or week stated in the market's settlement rules; consult the market description for the exact settlement timestamp and the operator's tie-breaking procedures.
Each outcome corresponds to a particular song (or a designated aggregate outcome such as 'None of the above') as listed on the market page; the full outcome list and labels are provided on the platform and determine which song traders are effectively betting on.
Settlement follows the market's published rules and the official data source specified there; if Spotify revises chart methodology, the market operator's rulebook will state whether the revised charts are used or whether any additional adjudication is required.
Whether different versions are combined depends on Spotify's charting conventions (how they group recordings and credits) and on the market's resolution policy; traders should review how the platform aggregates streams for remixes and credited artists as described in the market details.
The platform will publish the official close time and any settlement updates on the market page and in its announcements; subscribe to market alerts or check the operator's help and status pages for real-time updates and the final official settlement source.