| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ordinary | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Manchild | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Your Idol | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Soda Pop | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Don’t Say You Love Me | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| BIRDS OF A FEATHER | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| back to friends | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Die With A Smile | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| APT. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| DtMF | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| luther (with sza) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| End of Beginning | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| SWIM | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Raindance (feat. Tems) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Babydoll | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stateside + Zara Larsson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Man I Need | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| So Easy (To Fall In Love) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which song will hold the #3 position on Spotify (as defined by the market's resolution rule) in 2026. It matters because chart position on Spotify is a high-frequency signal of mainstream popularity and can reflect broader trends in marketing, virality, and listener behavior.
Spotify chart positions are determined by streaming volumes tracked on Spotify’s public charts (daily or weekly), and dominance on those charts has grown in importance for labels, artists, and promoters. In recent years chart outcomes have been shaped by cross-platform virality, playlist placement, coordinated release strategies, and global market shifts — the same forces will shape who lands at #3 in 2026.
Market prices aggregate traders’ information and expectations about which listed song will meet the market’s resolution criteria for #3 on Spotify in 2026; prices move as new data (releases, playlisting, viral events) arrives. Always check the market’s resolution rules for the exact definition of how Spotify position and timing are determined.
The market resolves according to the contract’s published resolution rule on the event page; that rule specifies which Spotify chart (daily, weekly, or year-end) and the precise cutoff date/time used to determine the #3 position. Consult the market's rules on Kalshi for the authoritative resolution definition.
The event currently lists a closing time as TBD; the market will close at the platform-specified time and settle after the official chart or data source named in the resolution rule is published and verified. Settlement timing may include a short verification window per Kalshi’s procedures.
Outcomes on this market represent the specific song titles or a grouped 'other' option as listed on the market page; additions or changes follow Kalshi’s event creation rules and are fixed once the market is listed, so check the listed outcomes before trading.
Tie-breaker procedures are governed by the market’s resolution clause and the referenced Spotify data source; typical resolutions include using the platform’s official tie rules (if any) or following a predefined secondary metric described in the contract. Review the event’s resolution text for the exact tie-handling method.
Monitor planned single/album release dates, announced collaborations, major playlist adds, viral social-media trends, sync placements in high-profile media, award-show performances, and tour schedules — each can materially and quickly change streaming volumes and thus market expectations for which song will be #3.