| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Avatar: Fire and Ash | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Superman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Wicked: For Good | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| One Battle after Another | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sirât | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sinners | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| F1 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Frankenstein | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which film will win the 2026 Academy Award for Best Sound; it matters because the award recognizes technical and creative achievement in sound that contributes to a film’s storytelling and industry prestige.
The Academy combined sound categories into a single Best Sound award in recent years, so nominees reflect an overall soundcraft judgment rather than separate editing and mixing distinctions. The 2026 award will honor films released in the prior eligibility year and is decided by Academy voting procedures that include sound-branch input and final Academy-wide ballots. Market prices reflect traders’ aggregated expectations about the official Oscar outcome, which will be announced at the 2026 ceremony.
Prediction market prices are a snapshot of collective belief about which listed outcome will be the official winner, not a guarantee; movements reflect new information such as nominee lists, critics’ awards, or industry campaigning.
Resolution will follow Kalshi’s event rules and occurs after the official Academy announcement of the 2026 Best Sound winner; the market stays open until the platform sets or signals the close, and trades reflect information up to settlement.
Nominees are chosen through Academy voting procedures: the sound-branch or designated committees review eligible films and submit final nominees, after which the entire eligible voting membership casts the final ballots for the winner.
Eligibility is tied to the Academy’s rules for the 2026 ceremony, generally requiring a qualifying release window in the prior eligibility year and adherence to technical and exhibition criteria set by the Academy.
Historically, large-scale action films, musicals, and other titles with distinctive or technically ambitious soundscapes often attract attention, although intimate films with exceptional design or mixing can also win when they demonstrate clear craft and voter resonance.
Campaigns raise awareness among Academy voters through screenings, technical demonstrations, and targeted outreach; strong showings at guilds, critics’ awards, or technical prizes can shift market sentiment as traders update their views on likely voter behavior.