| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dream As One | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Dying To Live | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Highest 2 Lowest | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Last Time (I Seen The Sun) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Salt Then Sour Then Sweet | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| As Alive As You Need Me To Be | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| F1 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Our Love | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| No Place Like Home | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| The Girl In The Bubble | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Train Dreams | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sweet Dreams Of Joy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Golden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| I Lied To You | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dear Me | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks which song will win the 2026 Academy Award for Best Music (Original Song), allowing traders to express views on likely outcomes in the awards season. It matters because the category reflects both industry recognition and broader cultural attention for film music.
Best Original Song has a long Oscar history of recognizing original compositions written specifically for films, with winners often coming from high-profile films, established songwriters, or strong awards-season campaigns. In recent years streaming releases, cross-media promotion, and prominent artist involvement have shaped which songs gain momentum among Academy voters and public attention. The 2026 market will reflect those ongoing trends as nominees are announced and campaigns unfold.
Market prices are a live signal of trader expectations and how new information (nominations, reviews, performances) is being incorporated; they are not official predictions from the Academy. Use prices as a dynamic gauge of sentiment and liquidity rather than a definitive forecast.
The market close time is listed as TBD; exchanges typically set closure at a specific time before the Academy ceremony or when official results are determinative. Check the KALSHI market page for the announced close time and any updates as the ceremony date approaches.
Total volume reflects the amount of trading activity and available liquidity in this market, indicating how much attention and capital traders have put to work; it does not by itself indicate which song will win, but higher volume usually means faster incorporation of new information into prices.
Nomination and shortlist announcements formally establish the candidate pool and typically produce large price movements as traders re-evaluate odds; nominees that appear on the official list generally become the primary focus of trading and campaigning.
Songs from films released during awards season or with concentrated promotional campaigns tend to maintain visibility with voters and traders, while late releases that generate momentum can rapidly shift market sentiment as reviews, performances, and voter reactions accumulate.
If a nominee is disqualified or withdrawn, the exchange will update the outcome set and settlement rules per its policies; traders should review the market’s terms and official announcements for how affected positions will be adjusted or refunded.