| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diane Warren: Relentless | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Jay Kelly | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Hedda | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Captain America: Brave New World | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Wicked: For Good | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| F1 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Train Dreams | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Tron: Ares | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| A House of Dynamite | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Marty Supreme | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Truth and Treason | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Sirât | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Nuremberg | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Avatar: Fire and Ash | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Hamnet | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| One Battle after Another | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Frankenstein | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sinners | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bugonia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which composer/film will win the 2026 Oscar for Best Music (Original Score). It matters because market prices aggregate information and news about awards momentum, industry support, and critical reception.
The Academy Award for Best Original Score has been presented since the early years of the Oscars to recognize achievement in film composition; winners often come from a mix of established composers and breakout talent. This specific Kalshi market lists 21 possible outcomes and has seen significant trading activity, reflecting active interest across awards-season developments. The Oscars nomination and voting timetable (nomination announcements several weeks before the ceremony, voting after nomination) drives much of the season’s information flow.
Market prices function as a near–real-time indicator of collective expectations, moving when traders incorporate new information like precursor awards, reviews, or eligibility changes; treat prices as signals, not certainties.
Closes are listed as TBD for this market; trading windows for similar markets typically end before or during the awards ceremony or final voting period. Check the market page for an official close date as the Academy’s nomination and ceremony schedule becomes clear.
Each outcome represents a distinct nominee entry (a composer paired with a film) or an alternative stated on the market; the winning outcome corresponds to the film/composer officially awarded the Oscar for Best Original Score.
Sharp movements typically follow concrete events such as Academy nomination announcements, wins at precursor awards, major festival buzz, eligibility disputes or disqualifications, prominent critical reviews, or intensified campaigning and media exposure.
Streaming releases can raise visibility quickly but may face different perceptions among voters; qualifying theatrical runs, festival premieres, and sustained visibility often help a score’s awards prospects—markets will react as the release strategy and voter reception become clearer.
A rule change or a formal eligibility challenge can remove or reclassify outcomes, triggering rapid price adjustments as traders re-evaluate which entries remain valid or competitive; major procedural announcements are therefore highly market-moving events.