| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Fantastic Four: First Steps | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| The Phoenician Scheme | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| One Battle After Another | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Wicked: For Good | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Bugonia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Downton Abbey: The Grand Finale | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Kiss of the Spider Woman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Nouvelle Vague | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Snow White | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Hedda | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Hamnet | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Avatar: Fire and Ash | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Frankenstein | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sinners | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Marty Supreme | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which film or designer will win the 2026 Academy Award for Best Costume Design. It matters because the award reflects industry recognition of the visual and narrative role of costumes and is shaped by awards-season dynamics and peer voting.
The Oscar for Best Costume Design has recognized designers since the mid-20th century and frequently rewards period pieces, fantasy, or transformative wardrobe work that advances character and story. Recent decades show strong correlation between wins and prior recognition from the Costume Designers Guild, major international awards, and visible studio campaigning. Outcomes for 2026 will depend on films released in the eligibility year and the campaigns and awards-season momentum they generate.
Prediction market prices are a real-time aggregation of trader expectations about which listed outcome the Academy will name the winner; they move as new information (nominations, guild awards, festival buzz, reviews, and campaign news) arrives. Treat market prices as snapshots of collective sentiment, not official endorsements from the Academy.
The market resolves when the Academy publicly announces the winner for Best Costume Design at the official 2026 Oscars result; settlement follows the exchange’s published rules tied to that official announcement.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific nominated film/designer (or other listed option) as presented in the market; the outcome that exactly matches the Academy’s announced winner is the one that settles.
Nominations typically concentrate trading around the official shortlist; if the market listed potential nominees before nominations, outcomes that fail to receive an Academy nomination may be adjusted or removed according to the exchange’s rules.
Results from the Costume Designers Guild, BAFTA, major critics’ awards, major film festivals, and prominent industry endorsements are the most influential indicators that tend to move trader sentiment.
Settlement will follow the Academy’s official statements and the exchange’s contingency rules; if a nominee is disqualified before the winner is announced, the market operator will implement adjustments or suspensions as specified in its rulebook.