| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridgerton: Season 4 | 4% | 1¢ | 3¢ | — | $27K | Trade → |
| The Night Agent: Season 3 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| Harry Styles. One Night in Manchester. | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| Love Is Blind: Ohio | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model: Season 1 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Famous Last Words: Eric Dane | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| The Hunting Party: Season 1 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Raw: 2026 - February 23, 2026 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $583 | Trade → |
| The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $233 | Trade → |
| Taylor Tomlinson: Prodigal Daughter | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $163 | Trade → |
| Ms. Rachel: Season 1 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $125 | Trade → |
This market asks which title will finish the week as the #2 show on Netflix's U.S. weekly chart. The outcome matters to creators, advertisers, and fans because weekly chart position signals short-term popularity and can drive follow-on viewing and media coverage.
Netflix publishes weekly Top 10 lists for the U.S., and rankings are driven by how many hours viewers watch a given show during the measurement week. Weekly movements often reflect new season or episode drops, promotional pushes, social-media virality, and competition from other releases.
Market prices reflect the collective expectation of which title will be #2 for the specified Netflix U.S. weekly period; they move as new viewing data and public signals arrive. Check the event page for the official resolution source and rules the market will use to determine the winner.
Resolution uses the market's specified weekly measurement window as defined on the event page and in Kalshi's rules; if the close or measurement dates are labelled TBD, watch the event page for the official posted week range and the source Netflix report used for settlement.
The market title implies the ranking for Netflix's 'shows' category; the event page and contract terms identify the official source and whether the outcome set is limited to TV series, so consult those settlement definitions to confirm what counts.
Tie-breaking and exact settlement procedures are governed by the market’s rulebook and the data provider specified by the event; check the event’s settlement policy for the hierarchy of sources and tie resolution.
Yes — a strong mid-week premiere can accumulate enough hours to reach #2 depending on viewership intensity and episode availability, though full-week drops typically have more time to rack up viewing hours.
If the winning title is not among listed outcomes, the market’s rules specify whether an 'Other' outcome exists or if the contract is void; always review the event's outcome list and Kalshi’s resolution terms for the specified contingency procedures.