| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jurassic World Rebirth | 98% | 98¢ | 99¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
| Trap House | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| KPop Demon Hunters | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| The Addams Family | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Firebreak | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $892 | Trade → |
| Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $688 | Trade → |
| Fall | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $509 | Trade → |
| Joe’s College Road Trip | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $416 | Trade → |
| The Expendables 4 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $340 | Trade → |
| The Orphans | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $250 | Trade → |
This market asks which film will be the #2 movie on Netflix’s U.S. weekly movie chart for the specified week. It matters because chart position reflects short-term viewer demand and can signal momentum for a title’s broader cultural impact.
Netflix publishes weekly charts that rank movies by viewing activity in each territory; streaming chart positions often shift quickly as new releases arrive and marketing campaigns run. This Kalshi market offers 10 nominated outcomes and aggregates trader views on which title will finish second in the U.S. Netflix movie chart; total volume traded so far is $6,585 and the market close is listed as TBD.
Market prices summarize the collective view of traders about which outcome is most likely to occur given public information and expectations; they update as new information (release changes, promotion, reviews) becomes available and should be read as a dynamic signal, not a guarantee.
The event refers to Netflix’s official weekly reporting window for U.S. movie rankings; the precise start and end timestamps used for settlement follow the exchange’s stated timing and Netflix’s published chart for that specific week—check the event page for the official cutoff once it is posted.
Each outcome is a specific movie title listed on the event page; the full list of the 10 nominated films is visible on the market page and defines the set of potential winners for the #2 spot.
The winning outcome will be the film that is listed at position #2 on Netflix’s published U.S. movie chart for the relevant week; settlement uses the official chart as published by Netflix and follows the exchange’s published dispute and settlement rules.
Key movers include announced release date changes, major promotional pushes or Netflix featuring, sudden viral social media trends, favorable or damaging press/reviews, and any announcements affecting a title’s availability on Netflix in the U.S.
A close time will be posted on the event page; after that time the market will stop accepting trades and the exchange will wait for Netflix’s official weekly rankings to publish. Once Netflix’s chart is available and the exchange completes its verification, the winning outcome will be confirmed and the market settled.