| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Addams Family | 2% | 2¢ | 11¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| The Addams Family 2 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| A Father's Miracle | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $789 | Trade → |
| How to Train Your Dragon | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $631 | Trade → |
| KPop Demon Hunters | 3% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $499 | Trade → |
| Joe’s College Road Trip | 9% | 0¢ | 8¢ | — | $479 | Trade → |
| Fall | 1% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $397 | Trade → |
| Homefront | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $250 | Trade → |
| The Orphans | 7% | 0¢ | 11¢ | — | $114 | Trade → |
| The Expendables 4 | 28% | 3¢ | 25¢ | — | $107 | Trade → |
This market asks which specific movie will finish as the #2 title on Netflix's US weekly movie chart for the week in question. That placement is meaningful because weekly Netflix rankings reflect short‑term audience attention and can signal box office/streaming momentum and marketing success.
Netflix publishes weekly top‑10 lists that aggregate viewing in the United States; those lists shift rapidly when new titles arrive or when older titles get promotional pushes or viral attention. Prediction markets like this let traders express views on which single title will occupy the #2 slot, incorporating info about release dates, marketing, publicity, and viewer behavior.
Market prices represent collective expectations about which listed title will be #2 for the defined week, and they update as new information arrives; they are indicators of market sentiment, not guarantees of final outcome.
Settlement is based on the market's rulebook definition of the relevant US weekly Netflix movie ranking; traders should consult the specific market terms for the precise week, cutoff time, and the official data source used for settlement.
The market lists ten specific candidate titles as possible #2 finishers; if a listed title is removed, retitled, or otherwise affected prior to settlement, the market's published resolution rules specify whether an alternate outcome, substitution, or void occurs—check the event's rules for the exact procedure.
Yes; the weekly Netflix movie ranking typically includes any qualifying movies viewed on the US Netflix service during the measurement period, including Netflix originals and licensed titles, subject to the market's eligibility rules.
Immediate drivers include surprise new releases, Netflix promotional placements or push notifications, sudden social‑media virality, major media coverage or celebrity amplification, and competing releases on other platforms that alter viewing patterns.
The market's close time is listed as TBD; monitor the market page for an official close announcement and for the settlement report, and cross‑check the cited weekly Netflix ranking source (per the market rules) to follow which titles are rising or falling during the measurement week.