| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ordinary | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Manchild | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Your Idol | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Soda Pop | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Don’t Say You Love Me | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| BIRDS OF A FEATHER | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| back to friends | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Die With A Smile | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| APT. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| DtMF | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| End of Beginning | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Man I Need | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| SWIM | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Babydoll | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Raindance (feat. Tems) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stateside + Zara Larsson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| So Easy (To Fall in Love) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which listed outcome will hold the #2 position on Spotify (per the market's resolution rules) in 2026; it matters because streaming chart positions reflect real-world listening trends and can move quickly with promotion and viral attention. The market has 12 discrete outcomes and current details (including close/resolution date) are listed on the market page.
Spotify chart positions are driven by daily and weekly streams, playlist placements, and short‑form social media virality; in recent years, both new releases and catalog resurgences have reached top chart positions. Artists and labels now time releases, playlist campaigns, and social campaigns to maximize first‑week and daily streams, so chart competition through 2026 will reflect those coordinated efforts as well as unforeseeable viral moments.
Market prices reflect traders’ aggregated expectations for which of the 12 listed outcomes will be #2 at the market’s settlement moment; they update in real time as new information (releases, promotion, viral events) arrives. Treat prices as market sentiment, not guarantees, and consult the market rules for the exact chart and timing that determine settlement.
Resolution is governed by the market’s official rules: it will specify which Spotify chart (for example global daily or weekly) and the exact date/time used to determine the #2 position. Traders should read the market description and rulebook on the platform to confirm the precise chart and settlement timestamp.
Outcomes are the specific labels listed on this market (typically song titles or title/artist combinations). In most markets the outcome list is fixed at launch and does not change; if you need confirmation, check the market’s outcome list and any platform notices about modifications.
If outcomes are fixed at launch, a song released after opening will only be eligible if it matches one of the prelisted outcomes. New songs not listed typically cannot be added, so late releases are only relevant if the market’s outcome list already includes them or if the platform announces a change.
Track official release dates and timezones, major playlist additions (especially Spotify editorial/Discover Weekly placements), rapid growth on TikTok or other short‑form platforms, surprise live performances or syncs (film/TV), and announcements from labels or artists about promotional pushes targeting Spotify.
Total volume indicates current market activity and liquidity: lower volume can mean wider bid‑ask spreads, faster price swings from individual trades, and greater sensitivity to new information. For thinly traded outcomes, consider smaller position sizes, watch order depth, and be prepared for higher short‑term volatility.