| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kamala Harris | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Joe Biden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Taylor Swift | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Elon Musk | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vladimir Putin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Timothée Chalamet | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Billie Eilish | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sam Altman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bad Bunny | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which individual will be the #2 most searched person on Google during 2026 and tracks collective expectations about public attention. It matters because search rankings summarize what captured global attention over the year and can signal cultural, commercial, and reputational impact.
Google's annual 'Year in Search' and related Top Searches lists aggregate billions of searches to rank the people, events, and topics that generated the most interest; past lists have been dominated by a mix of entertainers, politicians, athletes, and viral figures. Year-to-year winners reflect the news cycle, entertainment releases, major sports events, awards seasons, scandals, and, occasionally, deaths; changes in social platforms and search behavior also shape who rises in the rankings.
Market prices are real-time signals that aggregate trader views and new information about who is likely to finish #2; they should be read as evolving consensus rather than immutable forecasts. Use prices alongside news flow, search trends, and the event's resolution rules to interpret changing odds.
The market's close date is listed as TBD; final settlement will follow the primary resolution source named by the market (commonly Google's official 'Year in Search' or an equivalent Google-published ranked list for 2026). If the market page specifies a different source or tie-break procedure, that specification governs settlement.
The geographic scope depends on the market's specification. If the market description does not name a region, the implicit interpretation is typically global searches, but you should check the market's rules or metadata to confirm the exact scope used for resolution.
Unless the market specifies otherwise, 'in 2026' refers to the calendar year (January 1 through December 31), with Google compiling annual lists after year-end; settlement will reflect whatever time window the resolution source uses, so confirm the source's reporting window in the market text.
Sustained, high-profile events drive search volume: major news stories or scandals, blockbuster entertainment releases, award-show moments, sports championships or standout performances, viral social-media phenomena, and deaths or serious health developments. Brief mentions typically don't produce the sustained volume needed to reach the top ranks.
Resolution follows the market's stated source and tie-break rules. If Google's publication has a tie, lacks a ranking, or changes methodology, the market's resolution policy (listed on the platform) will specify the fallback procedure—often an alternate official Google product or the platform's arbitration process—so consult the market's resolution text for exact handling.