| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Night Agent: Season 3 | 98% | 97¢ | 99¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Katt Williams: The Last Report | 4% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $441 | Trade → |
| Raw: 2026 - February 16, 2026 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $200 | Trade → |
| Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model: Season 1 | 7% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $172 | Trade → |
| Sommore: Chandelier Fly | 40% | 0¢ | 26¢ | — | $95 | Trade → |
| Love Is Blind: Ohio | 10% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $41 | Trade → |
| Bridgerton: Season 4 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| The Hunting Party: Season 1 | 0% | 0¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Famous Last Words: Eric Dane | 0% | 0¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which title will rank #2 on Netflix's global 'Shows' chart for the coming week; chart placement signals scale of viewership and can indicate which series is gaining the most international traction.
Netflix publishes weekly popularity charts that aggregate viewership across territories; new releases, sustained bingeing, and regional surges all influence positions on the global list. Over the last several years, weekly Netflix charts have become a common industry metric for short-term audience attention and a proxy for promotional and cultural impact.
Market odds represent the collective expectation about which show will finish the tracking week in the #2 slot and will move as new information arrives (release dates, marketing pushes, early viewership reports). They are not guarantees but a summary of current market sentiment.
The market uses the tracking week defined by Netflix’s public charting window as the measurement period; check Netflix’s weekly chart publication or the market’s event description for the precise start and end times, since platforms may publish on different schedules.
The 'Shows' category generally covers episodic content—new series, limited/mini series, and new seasons of existing shows are all typically eligible; movies are treated separately, so confirm Netflix’s classification if a title could be ambiguous.
Yes—rankings are based on cumulative performance over the tracking window, so a late surge can overcome an early lead; the impact depends on how large and concentrated the spike is relative to competitors.
Yes—Netflix’s global charts reflect aggregated viewing across territories, and several non‑English titles have reached top global ranks when they attract strong international or concentrated regional audiences aided by subtitles/dubs and cross-border interest.
Methodology changes introduce additional uncertainty; traders should seek official clarification from Netflix, reassess how the change affects comparability to prior weeks, and expect market prices to adjust as participants incorporate the new rules.