| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Addams Family | 7% | 6¢ | 9¢ | — | $19K | Trade → |
| KPop Demon Hunters | 93% | 90¢ | 93¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
| The Addams Family 2 | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Joe’s College Road Trip | 3% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $336 | Trade → |
| How to Train Your Dragon | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $247 | Trade → |
| Homefront | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $200 | Trade → |
| The Expendables 4 | 0% | 0¢ | 37¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| A Father's Miracle | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Orphans | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fall | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which listed title will be the #2 movie on Netflix's global weekly ranking for the specified week. The outcome matters because a top placement on Netflix drives visibility, downstream viewership, and industry attention for studios and talent.
Netflix publishes weekly Top 10 lists that aggregate viewing across territories and formats; those lists are closely watched by studios, press, and streaming analysts as a measure of a title's reach. Historically, recently released films, franchises with built‑in audiences, and titles that receive heavy platform promotion or global localization tend to dominate the top slots. Because Netflix reports viewing on a weekly cadence, short-term factors such as release timing and marketing pushes can produce rapid rises or falls in rank.
Market prices represent the collective expectation about which listed movie will occupy the #2 spot in Netflix's official global weekly ranking for the event’s measurement period. Prices move as new information arrives — e.g., daily Top 10 updates, release timing, or promotional activity — and should be interpreted as a snapshot of how traders value each candidate given current public signals.
Settlement is based on Netflix's official global weekly ranking for movies for the event's specified reporting week; the market uses Netflix's published chart or the metric named in the event rules as the authoritative source.
The event follows the reporting week defined in its rules or on the event page — typically the Netflix weekly reporting window; check the market description for the precise cutoff and timezone used for settlement.
Settlement follows the contingency and tie‑breaking procedures specified in the event terms; if Netflix alters format or issues ambiguous data, the market operator will apply the published settlement rules and any official clarifications.
Yes — strong initial viewership, intensive platform promotion, and global curiosity can propel a new release rapidly into the top ranks even with fewer days in the reporting window.
Watch Netflix's daily Top 10 updates (where available), press coverage of marketing campaigns, social‑media engagement, third‑party streaming hours estimates, and regional box office or viewership anecdotes that indicate global traction.